Probability of a Symmetric Difference Event

Symmetric difference events are measurable. The probability of a symmetric difference event is obtained by subtracting twice the probability of the intersection from the sum of the probabilities of the two events.

Symmetric Difference Events Are Measurable

Suppose that a probability space \(\left( \Omega,\mathcal{F},P\right) \)is given. That is, the family of events \(\mathcal{F}\subset2^{\Omega}\)satisfies the axioms of a measurable space \begin{align*}
& \left( M_{1}\right) \ \mathcal{F}\not =\phi\\
& \left( M_{2}\right) \ \forall A\in\mathcal{F}:A^{c}\in\mathcal{F}\\
& \left( M_{3}\right) \ \forall\left\{ A_{n}\right\} _{n\in\mathbb{N} }\subset\mathcal{F}:\bigcup_{n\in\mathbb{N} }A_{n}\in\mathcal{F},
\end{align*}and the probability measure \(P:\mathcal{F}\rightarrow\mathbb{R} \) satisfies the axioms of probability \begin{align*}
& \left( P_{1}\right) \ \forall A\in\mathcal{F}:P\left( A\right) \geq0\\
& \left( P_{2}\right) \ P\left( \Omega\right) =1\\
& \left( P_{3}\right) \ \forall\text{mutually disjoint }\left\{
A_{n}\right\} _{n\in\mathbb{N} }\subset\mathcal{F}:P\left( \bigcup_{n\in\mathbb{N} }A_{n}\right) =\sum_{n\in\mathbb{N} }P\left( A_{n}\right) .
\end{align*}

Given a probability space \(\left( \Omega,\mathcal{F},P\right) \), what can be said about the probability of a symmetric difference event? Before answering this question, we first verify that symmetric difference events are measurable.

Proposition (Symmetric Difference Events Are Measurable)
In a probability space \(\left( \Omega,\mathcal{F},P\right) \), for arbitrary events \(A,B\in\mathcal{F}\), \[
A\Delta B\in\mathcal{F}.
\]Thus, \(\mathcal{F}\) is closed under symmetric difference.
Proof

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Probability of a Symmetric Difference Event

Since the event space \(\mathcal{F}\) is closed under symmetric difference, for arbitrary events \(A,B\in\mathcal{F}\), \[
A\Delta B\in\mathcal{F}.
\]Therefore, the probability measure \(P:\mathcal{F}\rightarrow\mathbb{R} \) assigns the probability \(P\left( A\Delta B\right) \) to this event, and \[
P\left( A\Delta B\right) =P\left( A\right) +P\left( B\right) -2P\left(
A\cap B\right) .
\]

Proposition (Probability of a Symmetric Difference Event)
In a probability space \(\left( \Omega,\mathcal{F},P\right) \), for arbitrary events \(A,B\in\mathcal{F}\), \[
P\left( A\Delta B\right) =P\left( A\right) +P\left( B\right) -2P\left(
A\cap B\right) .
\]
Proof

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Example (Symmetric Difference with the Empty Event)
For an arbitrary event \(A\in\mathcal{F}\), its symmetric difference with the empty event \(\phi \in\mathcal{F}\) satisfies \begin{align*}
A\Delta\phi & =\left( A\backslash\phi\right) \cup\left( \phi\backslash A\right) \\
& =A\cup\phi\\
& =A.
\end{align*}Therefore,
\[
P\left( A\Delta\phi\right) =P\left( A\right) .
\]The same result can be derived from the preceding proposition:
\begin{align*}
P\left( A\Delta\phi\right) & =P\left( A\right) +P\left( \phi\right)
-2P\left( A\cap\phi\right) \\
& =P\left( A\right) +P\left( \phi\right) -2P\left( \phi\right)
\quad\because A\cap\phi=\phi\\
& =P\left( A\right) +0-0\quad\because P\left( \phi\right) =0\\
& =P\left( A\right) .
\end{align*}Thus, the same result is obtained.
Example (When One Event Is Contained in the Other)
If events \(A,B\in\mathcal{F}\) satisfy \(B\subset A\), then \begin{align*}
A\Delta B & =\left( A\backslash B\right) \cup\left( B\backslash A\right)
\\
& =\left( A\backslash B\right) \cup\phi\\
& =A\backslash B.
\end{align*}Therefore,
\begin{align*}
P\left( A\Delta B\right) & =P\left( A\backslash B\right) \\
& =P\left( A\right) -P\left( B\right) \quad\because B\subset A.
\end{align*}The same result follows from the preceding proposition:
\begin{align*}
P\left( A\Delta B\right) & =P\left( A\right) +P\left( B\right)
-2P\left( A\cap B\right) \\
& =P\left( A\right) +P\left( B\right) -2P\left( B\right) \quad\because B\subset A\\
& =P\left( A\right) -P\left( B\right) .
\end{align*}Thus, the same result is obtained.
Example (When the Events Are Mutually Disjoint)
If events \(A,B\in\mathcal{F}\) are mutually disjoint, then \begin{align*}
A\Delta B & =\left( A\backslash B\right) \cup\left( B\backslash A\right)
\\
& =A\cup B\quad\because A\cap B=\phi.
\end{align*}Therefore,
\begin{align*}
P\left( A\Delta B\right) & =P\left( A\cup B\right) \\
& =P\left( A\right) +P\left( B\right) -P\left( A\cap B\right) \\
& =P\left( A\right) +P\left( B\right) -0\quad\because A\cap B=\phi\\
& =P\left( A\right) +P\left( B\right) .
\end{align*}The same result follows from the preceding proposition:
\begin{align*}
P\left( A\Delta B\right) & =P\left( A\right) +P\left( B\right)
-2P\left( A\cap B\right) \\
& =P\left( A\right) +P\left( B\right) -2\cdot0\quad\because A\cap B=\phi\\
& =P\left( A\right) +P\left( B\right) .
\end{align*}Thus, the same result is obtained.

 

Exercises

Problem (Probability of a Symmetric Difference Event)
In a probability space \(\left( \Omega,\mathcal{F},P\right) \), suppose that events \(A,B\in\mathcal{F}\) satisfy
\begin{align*}
P\left( A\right) & =\frac{2}{3}\\
P\left( B\right) & =\frac{1}{2}\\
P\left( A\cap B\right) & =\frac{1}{4}.
\end{align*}Find
\[
P\left( A\Delta B\right) .
\]
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Problem (Symmetric Difference of Mutually Disjoint Events)
In a probability space \(\left( \Omega,\mathcal{F},P\right) \), suppose that events \(A,B\in \mathcal{F}\) are mutually disjoint and satisfy \begin{align*}
P\left( A\right) & =\frac{3}{10}\\
P\left( B\right) & =\frac{2}{5}.
\end{align*}Find
\[
P\left( A\Delta B\right) .
\]
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Problem (Symmetric Difference under Set Inclusion)
In a probability space \(\left( \Omega,\mathcal{F},P\right) \), suppose that events \(A,B\in\mathcal{F}\) satisfy
\[
B\subset A
\]and
\begin{align*}
P\left( A\right) & =\frac{4}{5}\\
P\left( B\right) & =\frac{1}{3}.
\end{align*}Find
\[
P\left( A\Delta B\right) .
\]
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Problem (Finding an Intersection Probability from a Symmetric Difference Probability)
In a probability space \(\left( \Omega,\mathcal{F},P\right) \), suppose that events \(A,B\in\mathcal{F}\) satisfy \begin{align*}
P\left( A\right) & =\frac{3}{4}\\
P\left( B\right) & =\frac{2}{3}\\
P\left( A\Delta B\right) & =\frac{5}{12}.
\end{align*}Find
\[
P\left( A\cap B\right) .
\]
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Problem (Symmetric Difference and Union Event)
In a probability space \(\left( \Omega,\mathcal{F},P\right) \), suppose that events \(A,B\in\mathcal{F}\) satisfy
\begin{align*}
P\left( A\cup B\right) & =\frac{5}{6}\\
P\left( A\cap B\right) & =\frac{1}{3}.
\end{align*}Find
\[
P\left( A\Delta B\right) .
\]
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Problem (Probability of a Symmetric Difference Event)
Consider the experiment of rolling one die and observing the outcome. Its sample space is
\[
\Omega=\left\{ 1,2,3,4,5,6\right\} .
\]Let the event space be
\[
\mathcal{F}=2^{\Omega},
\]and suppose that the probability measure \(P:\mathcal{F}\rightarrow\mathbb{R} \) assigns to each event \(A\in\mathcal{F}\) the probability \[
P\left( A\right) =\frac{\left\vert A\right\vert }{\left\vert \Omega
\right\vert }=\frac{\left\vert A\right\vert }{6}.
\]Then \(\left( \Omega,\mathcal{F},P\right) \) is a probability space. Find the probability of the symmetric difference between the event that an odd number is rolled and the event that a number greater than or equal to \(4\) is rolled.
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Problem (Probability of a Symmetric Difference Event)
Consider the experiment of rolling one die twice and observing the two outcomes. Its sample space is
\[
\Omega=\left\{ \left( i,j\right) \ |\ i,j\in\left\{ 1,2,3,4,5,6\right\}
\right\} .
\]Let the event space be
\[
\mathcal{F}=2^{\Omega},
\]and suppose that the probability measure \(P:\mathcal{F}\rightarrow\mathbb{R} \) assigns to each event \(A\in\mathcal{F}\) the probability \[
P\left( A\right) =\frac{\left\vert A\right\vert }{\left\vert \Omega
\right\vert }=\frac{\left\vert A\right\vert }{36}.
\]Then \(\left( \Omega,\mathcal{F},P\right) \) is a probability space. Find the probability of the symmetric difference between the event that the first roll is even and the event that the second roll is even.
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Problem (Associativity of Symmetric Difference)
In a probability space \(\left( \Omega,\mathcal{F},P\right) \), suppose that events \(A,B,C\in\mathcal{F} \) satisfy
\begin{align*}
P\left( A\right) & =\frac{1}{2}\\
P\left( B\right) & =\frac{1}{2}\\
P\left( C\right) & =\frac{1}{2}\\
P\left( A\cap B\right) & =\frac{1}{4}\\
P\left( A\cap C\right) & =\frac{1}{4}\\
P\left( B\cap C\right) & =\frac{1}{4}\\
P\left( A\cap B\cap C\right) & =\frac{1}{8}.
\end{align*}Find
\[
P\left( \left( A\Delta B\right) \Delta C\right) .
\]
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Problem (When the Probability of a Symmetric Difference Is \(0\))
In a probability space \(\left( \Omega,\mathcal{F},P\right) \), suppose that events \(A,B\in \mathcal{F}\) satisfy \[
P\left( A\Delta B\right) =0.
\]Show that
\[
P\left( A\right) =P\left( B\right) .
\]
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